When stock markets become volatile, investors get
nervous. In many cases, this prompts them to take money out of the market and
keep it in cash. Cash can be seen, felt and spent at will, and having money on
hand makes many people feel more secure. But how safe is it really?
Read on to
find out whether your money is safer in the market or under your mattress.
All Hail Cash?
There are definitely some benefits to holding cash.
When the stock market is in free fall, holding cash helps you avoid further
losses. Even if the stock market doesn't fall on a particular day, there is
always the potential that it could have fallen. This possibility is known as
systematic risk, and it can be completely avoided by holding cash. Cash is also
psychologically soothing. During troubled times, you can see and touch cash.
Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your portfolio, cash will still be in
your pocket or in your bank account in the morning.
However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.
However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.
A Loss Is Not a Loss
When your money is in the stock market and the market
is down, you may feel like you've lost money, but you really haven't. At this
point, it's a paper loss. A turnaround in the market can put you right back to
break even and maybe even put a profit in your pocket. If you sell your
holdings and move to cash, you lock in your losses. They go from being paper
losses to being real losses with no hope of recovery. While paper losses don't
feel good, long-term investors accept that the stock market rises and falls.
Maintaining your positions when the market is down is the only way that your
portfolio will have a chance to benefit when the market rebounds.
Inflation Is a Cash Killer
While having cash in your hand seems like a great way
to stem your losses, cash is no defense against inflation. You think your money
is safe when it's in cash, but over time, its value erodes. Inflation is less
dramatic than a crash, but in some cases it can be more devastating to your
portfolio in the long term.
Opportunity Costs Add Up.
Opportunity cost is the cost of an alternative that
must be forgone in order to pursue a certain action. Put another way,
opportunity cost refers to the benefits you could have received by taking an
alternative action. In the case of cash, taking your money out of the stock
market requires that you compare the growth of your cash portfolio, which will
be negative over the long term as inflation erodes your purchasing power,
against the potential gains in the stock market. Historically, the stock market
has been the better bet.
Time Is Money
When you sell your stocks and put your money in cash,
odds are that you will eventually reinvest in the stock market. The question
then becomes, "when should you make this move?" Trying to choose the
right time to get in or out of the stock market is referred to as market
timing. If you were unable to successfully predict the market's peak and sell,
it is highly unlikely that you'll be any better at predicting its bottom and
buying in just before it rises.
Common Sense Is King
Common sense may be the best argument against moving
to cash, and selling your stocks after the market tanks means that you bought
high and are selling low. That would be the exact opposite of a good investing
strategy. While your instincts may be telling you to save what you have left,
your instincts are in direct opposition with the most basic tenet of investing.
The time to sell was back when your investments were in the black - not when
you are deep in the red.
Buy and Hold on Tight.
You were happy to buy when the price was high because
you expected it to go higher. Now that it is low, you expect it to fall
forever. Look at the markets over time. They have historically gone up.
Companies are in business to make money. They have a vested interest in
profitability. Investing in equities should be a long-term endeavor, and the
long term favors those who stay invested. Serious investors understand that
the markets are no place for the faint of heart.
This is also the time to review the strength and
weakness of our portfolio and make necessary reshuffling to make it ready for
next up move. Don't hesitate to sell the stock of a company in loss if we could
find a better opportunity in another one considering the changing business
environment.